A little while ago I went to see the UK’s favourite Psychic
- Sally Morgan. I was interested to see what her show was like and if she would
be able to challenge my preconception that no-one can actually speak to the
dead. If you read my previous blog on the subject you’ll know that I wasn’t
really that impressed – but thanks to the hard work of my friend Steve we’ve
been able to make a rough transcript of the show and count up how successful
Sally was at bringing messages from beyond the grave.
When marking the transcript, I've changed the real names, as I wouldn't want to upset a grieving audience member and appear to detract from the the memory of a loved one just to make a point. I’ve tried to keep whether or
not Sally scored a “hit” as simple as possible and considered the questions
recommended by the Good Thinking Society:
·
Is she making specific statements?
·
Is she speaking clearly or in riddles?
·
How Many statements are incorrect?
·
Were we asked to give information?
Using these as a guide, I measured 290 separate statements
made by Sally during the 2 hour show. The theatre had a capacity of around 600
and it was full (at £25 per head that’s £15,000 by the way). The number of
statements is interesting; as it reminded me of the Birthday Paradox whereby all you need is a group of 23 people in the same room for it to be more
likely than not for there to be 2 people who share a birthday. While birthdays
and loved ones are quite different a room of 600 people creates a lot of
chances for a statement to hit.
Considering this, as well as Sally’s claims to have been
guided by the spirits of relatives of people in the audience, you would expect
her statements to be unerringly accurate. In actual fact, I counted 41 “hits”
out of 290 statements - a success rate of 14%. Looking it another way, Sally
Morgan (the UK’s favourite Psychic) made 249 statements that drew blanks from a
room of 600 people (many of whom desperately wanted to speak to a dead
relative).
Which without wanting to be unkind is… not very good really.
I enjoy a graph (I know, but those long Norfolk nights as a
child were long and in Norfolk) so I’ve tried to create a visual record of her
performance. By putting all of Sally’s
statements chronologically in order we can check the frequency of her success
and see a story of the performance.
Sally's statements have been grouped in 5's |
We can see that there were only 3
occasions when Sally was regularly enjoying a better than 50-50 “hit” rate. The first occasion was very early on and
covered statements 1-20 and our rough transcripts provide the following detail:
No
|
Sally’s Statement
|
Audience Response
|
1
|
Young boy Jeff
|
…
|
2
|
Jeffrey?
|
…
|
3
|
He says Terry
|
…
|
4
|
He says Andrew
|
…
|
5
|
or Alan
|
…
|
6
|
Agitated
|
John died, Jeff is
my Son, John was friend of Son
|
7
|
He’s confused about
his death, Did he get thrown around?
|
yes
|
8
|
Who is Andrew?
|
Andrew was the driver
|
9
|
Were you with
relatives today?
|
No, with my
partner
|
10
|
His heart went 'boom'
|
that’s how he died,
his blood rushed around his body too quick
|
11
|
I've never met you
before
|
I have met you before
- Skegness
|
12
|
Other two girls who
also stood up, Did you stand up for Jeff?
|
No, Terry, Andrew, Paul
|
13
|
Did I say Terry?
|
…
|
14
|
Andrew?
|
…
|
15
|
Somebody said Sam,
may own a motorbike?
|
Sam was the
stepfather
|
16
|
and Sam owns the
motorbike?
|
No my cousin owns the
motorbike
|
17
|
And your cousin is in
spirit?
|
yes
|
18
|
And your stepfather is
in spirit?
|
No
|
So even during her most successful 20 statement spell, Sally
provided 6 different names and asked 10 different questions. If Sally was indeed in contact with “John” I
wonder why he didn’t tell her ”My name’s John, I can see Jeff’s mum in the
crowd, get her to say hello to my Mum called Doris for me will you? The car
crash was horrible but I’m OK now”. I’m
also confused as to why Sally, who is apparently talking to the spirit of a
particular person, can’t even tell if it’s Sam or Andrew who are dead.
The best conversion that Sally had all night, was with a
regular attendee of her shows (Skegness at least), who also claimed to
understand a further 2 messages during the night. If I were a fan of Sally’s, I might wonder
why the only real run of success she had all evening came when speaking to
someone with whom she had already had spoken at a previous show. Where it seemed Sally hadn’t met the audience
member before, she was significantly less successful.
The second successful grouping was around statements 31-35:
No
|
Sally’s Statement
|
Audience Response
|
29
|
And Jonny?
|
…
|
30
|
And Young?
|
I heard the word Jonny before you said it
|
31
|
And did you hear it
'like that'?
|
yes
|
32
|
Are you a medium?
|
no, im totally
skeptical
|
33
|
Is your surname Young?
|
No
|
34
|
Do you know who Emma may be?
|
Jonny's wife
|
35
|
Do you know who Jonny is?
|
My grandfather
|
36
|
Is there the name
cliff?
|
No
|
37
|
Clifford Street?
|
No
|
38
|
connected to Jonny?
|
No
|
39
|
This time of year is
poignant time for you, start of Nov, up to the 12th?
|
No
|
Again, every single statement is a question and the more
specific the question the less success Sally has in being able to provide
anything meaningful to the audience member.
The third Successful grouping was around statements 65-75:
No
|
Sally’s Statement
|
Audience Response
|
64
|
Surname Follows?
|
Ted and Jodie Fellows, Ted is my step dad
|
65
|
In a wheelchair
|
yes
|
66
|
whos Jodie
|
His wife
|
67
|
Who is Berts
|
My family name
|
68
|
There was Parkinsons?
|
No
|
69
|
Hands waxy
|
??
|
70
|
Was fun?
|
yes
|
71
|
did you find a bible
or documents recently
|
photos a week ago
|
72
|
did you see a photo of
Jonny?
|
yes first time last
week
|
73
|
Head trauma
|
…
|
74
|
Lesley
|
…
|
75
|
Going to the dogs
|
…
|
76
|
dog racing?
|
…
|
While, the questions about the documents and photos are
quite accurate (if a little obvious), Sally manages to get the Spirit’s surname
wrong twice, as well as mis-diagnosing him with Parkinson’s Disease. Oddly this conversation was with the same
audience member who claimed to be “totally sceptical” in statement 32. I had a brief conversation with him after the
show and he was an absolute convert - clearly, he had only remembered the
“hits”. This really does show the power
of our memory’s ability to deceive us, and the importance of being able to
create an accurate record of events, to consider dispassionately. Without this,
like the regular attendee from statements 1-11, the skeptical audience member seemed
to have done Sally’s hard work for her.
Sally was apparently guided by the spirits of people who
knew members of the audience; however it’s undeniable that the likelihood of
randomly finding a hit within a room of 600 people is very high. When looking
at Sally’s evening, I’ve intentionally cherry picked the best moments from her
performance – the ones where Sally appears to be providing the most accurate
information. Even considering only the best of Sally’s readings, I can’t say
I’m very impressed by these conversations or Sally’s abilities as a psychic.
Essentially, I would have expected any-one who was speaking
directly to a dead relative to be able to give specific personal information, as
they could if they were speaking to a living relative. If a psychic cannot do this, I would be
skeptical about whether they are actually speaking to my dead relative at all.
Even if they could demonstrate that they were speaking to my dead relative, I
would wonder what possible use these limited conversations could serve. Sally’s revelations mostly revealed that a
loved one had died and that they were a loved one. She finished most of her “readings” with a
bland statement such as “…anyway I feel a lot of love there and he’s looking
out for you…”
I know my Granddad was a lovely man and that he loved me.
Most people would be able to say the same. So, even if these super natural
powers are real, what possible insight and use could a psychic provide, if all
they can do is pass dull blandishments from one side of the mortal plane to the
other?